Market Cap vs Fully Diluted Valuation: How to Compare and Use Both Metrics
Learn the difference between market cap and fully diluted valuation, how to calculate each, when to use them, and common pitfalls for both stocks and crypto assets.
When working with FDV, Fully Diluted Valuation is the total market value of a cryptocurrency if every possible token were in circulation, you’re looking at a number that tries to capture the whole potential size of a project. In plain terms, FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply, the maximum number of coins that can ever exist for a given crypto by the current price, the market price of one token at the moment of evaluation. This simple formula creates a snapshot that investors use to compare projects of different sizes and stages.
The FDV metric doesn’t live in isolation. It is tied to market cap, the value of all tokens that are actually circulating right now, which is another common gauge of a coin’s worth. While market cap reflects the real‑time value of tokens in the market, FDV expands that view to the theoretical maximum. The relationship can be expressed as: FDV encompasses market cap and the gap between them shows how much future dilution could affect price. In other words, a big gap often signals that many tokens are still locked up, which can lead to price pressure when they eventually hit the market.
Understanding FDV requires a quick look at a few companion concepts. First, circulating supply, the number of tokens currently available for trading tells you how much of the total supply is already influencing the price. Second, tokenomics, the economic design behind token distribution, inflation, and utility shapes both the total supply and the expected future releases. Finally, the price discovery, the process by which market participants establish a token’s price feeds directly into the FDV calculation. In short, FDV requires accurate price data, and price discovery is influenced by circulating supply and tokenomics.
These connections form clear semantic triples: FDV encompasses total token supply; FDV requires current token price; market cap influences investor decisions about FDV. When you see a project with a low market cap but a sky‑high FDV, you immediately know there’s a lot of future supply that could dilute value. Conversely, a small gap between market cap and FDV suggests most tokens are already circulating, which often means less surprise dilution.
Why does this matter for you? If you’re comparing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a newer meme coin, FDV helps you normalize the numbers. Bitcoin’s FDV, market cap, and total supply are all roughly the same because almost all coins are already mined. Ethereum shows a modest gap because some tokens remain in staking contracts. A meme coin, however, might have a tiny market cap but an enormous FDV, warning you that massive token releases could crash the price.
Investors also use FDV to gauge a project’s valuation relative to its utility. A DeFi protocol with strong on‑chain activity but a low FDV may be undervalued, while a hype‑driven token with a massive FDV might be over‑priced. By pairing FDV with metrics like daily active addresses, transaction volume, and on‑chain revenue, you get a fuller picture of whether the price reflects real usage or just speculation.
Another practical angle is risk management. Knowing the FDV lets you estimate the worst‑case dilution scenario. If a token’s total supply is set to double next year, the FDV will double too, assuming price stays steady, which translates to a potential 50% price drop for existing holders. Having that foresight lets you set stop‑loss levels or adjust position size before the supply shock hits.
Regulators are also paying attention to FDV because it can signal whether a token is being marketed as a security. A high FDV with a promise of future earnings from token releases often attracts scrutiny. Staying aware of FDV trends can help you avoid assets that might face legal challenges down the line.
In practice, most price trackers already display FDV alongside market cap. When you browse a coin’s page, compare the two numbers, look at the circulating vs total supply, and consider the token’s roadmap. If the project plans to release a large portion of its supply in the next few months, factor that potential dilution into your investment thesis.
All these pieces—FDV, market cap, token supply, price, and tokenomics—work together to shape a crypto’s risk‑reward profile. By understanding how they interlock, you can make smarter decisions, spot hidden opportunities, and avoid costly surprises. Below you’ll find a curated set of articles that dive deeper into each of these aspects, from detailed FDV calculations to real‑world case studies of projects where FDV played a pivotal role in price movements.
Learn the difference between market cap and fully diluted valuation, how to calculate each, when to use them, and common pitfalls for both stocks and crypto assets.